Mobile, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

617
FXUS64 KMOB 122347
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
647 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 125 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

A rather soggy period continues before we heat back up and second
summer comes knocking. The main driver for the more active
weather will be an inverted trough/easterly wave near the mouth of
the Mississippi river that will continue to track west across the
northern Gulf. This disturbance has brought an increase in
moisture to the area and widespread showers and storms. PWATS
have climbed to over 2 inches once again, and rain chances will
follow as numerous to widespread showers and storms are once again
expected late this evening and into the day on Wednesday. Given
the high moisture value and overall weak steering flow, heavy
rainfall will be the greatest concern as storms could quickly
produce a couple of inches in an hour. Luckily for the flooding
potential storms have continued moving and have brought a more
steady 2 to 4 inches across the coastal areas and slightly less
inland. However, Given the PWAT situation and soggy soils, there
is still some low end concerns for Flash Flooding across the
Florida panhandle into coastal alabama late tonight into
Wednesday. Flooding concerns will likely be confined to urban poor
drainage areas. We will have to keep a close eye overnight on
trends and see how the forecast evolves.

Rain chances should begin to taper off as the system tracks west
and upper level ridging builds back into the area by Thursday
bringing a drier but hotter weekend. Expect a more summertime
pattern to setup with your standard scattered afternoon
thunderstorms along the seabreeze and rather uncomfortable
temperatures and humidity. The big concern will likely be heat as
temperatures climb into the mid 90s with dewpoints in the 70s.
Heat indices will climb back into the low 100s making for a rather
sticky weekend. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

Scattered showers continue to lift across the local area at
issuance time. Outside of showers, flight categories have improved
to VFR. By the early morning hours, ceilings are expected to lower
once again to MVFR or IFR as additional showers and storms develop
over coastal counties. Coverage should spread inland by the late
morning and into the afternoon hours. Expect brief reductions in
visibility in some of the heavier activity. We should return to
VFR conditions by the mid to late afternoon hours tomorrow. Winds
will generally by light out of the south through the period. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 125 PM CDT Tue Aug 12 2025

A light to moderate easterly flow today will turn more southerly
by tonight as a weak disturbance moves across the northern Gulf.
Increased showers and storms will be expected across the marine
zones through Wednesday before returning to a more traditional
summertime pattern by the weekend. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  88  74  92  75  93  74  94 /  60  70  30  60  10  50  10  30
Pensacola   78  88  78  91  77  93  78  94 /  60  80  30  50  10  30  10  30
Destin      78  88  79  89  79  91  79  92 /  50  70  30  50  10  30  10  30
Evergreen   73  88  73  92  73  94  73  95 /  40  80  20  60  10  40  10  30
Waynesboro  73  88  71  92  71  93  72  94 /  40  70  30  60  10  40  10  30
Camden      73  85  73  91  73  92  73  93 /  50  70  20  60  10  30  10  20
Crestview   74  88  73  91  74  93  74  94 /  40  70  20  70  10  50  10  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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